How it works
What will Labor poll at the election?
30%
1. Back it Higher or Lower
Every price is a forecast of a party’s primary vote — Labor at 30¢ means the market expects 30%. Think the real result lands Higher? Buy at 30¢ a share. Think Lower? That side costs 70¢.
$100
on Lower · −$1.43 per +1pp
Buy Lower$100
≈ 333 shares · +$3.33 per +1pp
Buy Higher2. Stake your play money
You start with $10,000 of play money — never real, plus $5,000 per mate you refer. Every share turns one percentage point of the final result into one cent — payouts scale with the number, they’re never all-or-nothing.
Labor polls 33.4%
3. Sell any time, or settle on election night
Cash out whenever the forecast moves your way, or hold: the official AEC count pays Higher shares 1¢ per percentage point polled, Lower shares the rest.
The terms, in full: this is a game. The dollars are play money — no deposits, no withdrawals, not redeemable for anything, ever. A broken market may be called off, with every position refunded at cost. Be civil in the comments.